“It’s a good way of getting a feel for the pattern,” said Caterina, sticking another pin in the map. “There. That’s more or less it.”
Blume looked at the pins, which seemed to form the beginning of a spiral.
“How many are there?”
“Thirty-seven muggings. Today’s makes thirty-eight,” said Caterina. “These date back to twenty months ago.” She pointed to a group of seven pins near Trastevere train station. “Those occurred within the time frame, but we have the perpetrator for two of them and we’re pretty sure they are unconnected.”
“We’re totally sure,” interrupted Rospo.
“OK,” said Caterina with a nod at Rospo. “Those are not connected. Inside this spiral we may have two, three copy-cat, opportunist, or run-of-the mill muggings, but if we factor in that the victims were almost all foreigners, then the pattern…”
“We know that,” said Blume.
“Wait,” said Caterina, picking up a printout from the desk beside her. “The victims were, let’s see: Japanese, Spanish, Greek, German, Japanese again, French, another Japanese, Chinese, French again, Swiss, Austrian, Slovenian, Irish, Belgian, Japanese, Japanese… and so on. But at number 23 we have an Italian, a businessman from Milan.
“It interrupted the pattern, but pointed to another one. Apart from being in that area at that time of night, the Milanese businessman, a certain Natale Rosa, was staying at the Hotel Noantri.”
“We checked that, too,” said Blume. “About two in three of the victims were in that hotel, which is by far the largest in the area, so it was not very surprising.”
“Right,” said Caterina. “And we looked into the possibility that someone in the hotel was involved.”
“That was never discounted as a possibility,” said Blume. “But the attacks seemed pretty random. The other main thing is that they were carried out by a single person, which is rare, and that a lot of the witnesses said he threatened them with a huge knife. If I remember, one or two even spoke of a sword or cutlass.”
“I found another anomaly,” said Caterina. “There is something not right in the balance of nationalities.”
“Thirty-eight is a hell of a lot of muggings,” said Blume. “But statistically it’s negligible. You can’t deduce too much from such a small number.”
“I know… but…”
“But?”
“Where are all the Germans, Dutch, and English? I looked up the Rome Chamber of Commerce tourism figures. The Germans, Dutch, French, and English are the main visitors to the city; the Americans come a bit down the list, but they are still ahead of the Spanish and the Japanese. But we have no Dutch victims, no Americans, just one English but a preponderance of Japanese and a few Spaniards. Why?”
“Maybe because Japs are midgets,” said Rospo and cackled.
“You’re right,” said Caterina. “That’s exactly what I thought.”
Rospo stopped laughing, sat up straight for a moment, and looked pleased with himself.
“Not anymore,” said Blume. “The older generation is small, and so we think of them like that, but the young Japanese are as tall as anyone.”
“The Dutch are the tallest people in the world,” said Caterina. “When I saw there were no American victims, I looked it up, but it turns out the Dutch are taller. That’s more telling, since there are more Dutch than American tourists, but not one among the mugger’s victims.”
“Are you seriously building a theory out of this?” asked Blume.
“No, not really,” said Caterina. “But it got me thinking about the size of the victims, and that got me thinking about their age. I checked out the age profiles. The average was over fifty-five. Which, for the Japanese, makes them small again.”
“Basically, all you’re saying is that the mugger picked on old people,” said Rospo.
“Yes,” said Caterina. “That’s all I am saying. Small, old, frail people. It’s not much, but it’s a sort of pattern, and it hadn’t been included in any of the reports.”
“That’s about as fucking useless a… ” Rospo fell silent as he caught the look Blume was giving him.
“OK, now a mugger is usually a bully,” said Blume. “And this one is no exception. He selects older and smaller people. Being tourists they are less sure of their surroundings and more likely to have valuables. I think we had got that far in our reasoning, Inspector, even if the pattern wasn’t specifically mentioned.”
“So you choose old people because they are easier to rob. Also, old people tend to have more stuff. So then I looked over the list of things stolen,” said Caterina. “Mostly it’s money but there was also three silver bracelets, pendants, a valuable necklace, an incredibly valuable watch, diamond earrings, a gold pen, cameras, video equipment, a silver cross, and so on. I want to get back to that last one in a minute, because there is something interesting about it. Once the pressure to catch the mugger became intense, we put a lot of effort into trying to trace where these things were going. Grattapaglia, you Rospo, patrolmen, the Vigili Urbani, Finance Police, and even the Carabinieri were keeping an eye open, yet not one of these items was spotted. Now we also know, almost for certain, that no one on the street even knows who this person is, right Davide?”
“It looks like-yeah, this person is a newcomer or an outsider of some sort,” said Rospo, unhappy at having to agree. “And the Finance Police kept an eye on eBay small ads, Craigslist, and places like that and none of the merchandise came up for sale.”
“So how is he getting rid of the stuff?” said Caterina. “He hasn’t been fencing it to anyone. We could assume that he is fiendishly clever, but if he was, he would not be mugging for a living.”
“So he’s keeping the valuables,” said Blume. “As trophies or something.”
“Which means he’s got some other reason for mugging tourists.”
“Someone who just hates tourists?” said Rospo. “Like me.” This time he missed the look from Blume and allowed himself a long laugh.
“Hates tourists,” said Caterina. “Has no previous, is unknown, has no need of money, works alone, and is possibly small himself. Atypical.”
“The investigating magistrate should have figured this shit out,” said Rospo.
“It’s not a priority for him,” said Blume. “It is for us. Go on, Inspector.”
“OK. Now I checked the police statements of the victims. Let’s just say that a better job might have been done in asking them for details, getting basics like full names, time of robbery, home address-and we do have interpreters in the police, you know.”
“You’re confusing us with your previous job in immigration control, Inspector. I have never managed to find translators or interpreters. But go on.”
“We’ve still got seventeen decent descriptions of the attacks. None of them mentions anything about the mugger seeming older or smaller than usual, but they all say his face was hard to see behind the hooded tracksuit and in the dark. Four mention that he was small, the rest say nothing at all,” said Caterina. “Those who were asked the question say he was working alone, though one woman, a Swiss, wasn’t sure.”
“Not much help there,” said Rospo.
“What were you saying about the silver cross stolen from one of the victims?” asked Blume.
“Yes. That is interesting. Around a year ago, a Spaniard called Jose Maria Carvalho was mugged and reported losing a highly valuable silver cross ‘of extremely profound religious and symbolic value.’ Carvalho had been visiting the hotel for a conference, but actually lives in Trastevere. He works as a diplomat to the Holy See.”
“That Carvalho? The guy Grattapaglia thumped?” said Blume.
Caterina nodded. “So he was already poorly disposed to the police, seeing as we didn’t find his silver cross. Now this,” Caterina picked up a poorly-printed newsletter, “is the Pigna, a local newsletter that comes out now and again.”
Blume nodded. He always read it, too. Local news was always interesting, the more local the better.