Война [War]

Как показывает эта книга, не обошлось без неудач и ошибок. Полная история , конечно, еще не известна. Но, основываясь на имеющихся сейчас фактах, я считаю, что президент Байден и его команда будут в значительной степени изучены историей как пример стабильного и целенаправленного лидерства.

 

1. Secretary of State Tony Blinken (left) and President Biden (center left) meet with Russian President Putin (center right) and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov (right) on June 16, 2021, in Geneva, Switzerland. “Why did you leave Afghanistan?” Putin, the black belt judo master, asked Biden in an attempt to unbalance him. “Why did you leave?” Biden taunted back, a reference to the Soviet Union’s embarrassing withdrawal from Afghanistan in 1989, after 10 years of occupation.

2. “I want Putin to respect our country, okay?” Trump told me in a 2016 interview. “He said very good things about me. He said, Trump is brilliant, and Trump is going to be the new leader and all that. And some of these clowns said, ‘you should repudiate Putin.’ I said, why would I repudiate him?” At the Helsinki Summit in 2018, Trump appeared to strongly defend Putin and wave off the conclusions of U.S. intelligence agencies that Russia had interfered in the 2016 election.

3. “Jake Sullivan, he’s almost like a law firm,” Chairman of the Joint Chiefs General Mark Milley said about Biden’s national security adviser and indispensable aide. “He loads you up with these readings. You get homework all week long with Jake. And that’s good and they’re usually binders that are an inch or two thick.”

4. CIA Director Bill Burns was President Biden’s leading expert on Russian President Vladimir Putin. Burns had been ambassador to Moscow from 2005 to 2008 and knew Putin. Biden sent Burns to Moscow on November 2, 2021, to deliver a message to Putin: We know you plan to invade Ukraine. If you do it, this is what we will do. The CIA director carried with him a secret letter from President Biden to Putin.

5. Secretary of State Tony Blinken pressed Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to choose diplomacy over war in Ukraine. “Tony,” Lavrov scoffed in December 2021, “do you really think we’re going to invade? Are you really serious with this stuff?” Blinken left multiple meetings convinced that Lavrov was not fully aware of the extent of Putin’s war plans. He had a sliver of sympathy for how far outside Putin’s confidence Lavrov was.

6. “Going to Mar-a-Lago is a little bit like going to North Korea,” Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, said. “Everybody stands up and claps every time Trump comes in.” Graham, who often played golf with Trump, told the former president: “If you run and win then it’s the biggest second act in the history of American politics. Then you have four years to rewrite your legacy and make Trumpism a more sustainable movement. It becomes something you can pass to the next generation.”

7. “If you do this there are going to be enormous costs to Russia,” President Biden warned Russian President Vladimir Putin during a videoconference in the Situation Room on December 7, 2021. “We’re going to ensure that.” Putin denied Russia had any plans to invade Ukraine. Biden left the call convinced the invasion was coming.

8. On February 21, 2021, President Putin aggressively polled his security council on recognizing the “independence” of two cities in the east of Ukraine, Donetsk and Luhansk. He was laying his public grounds for war. “Speak plainly,” Putin ordered as his Director of the Foreign Intelligence Service Sergei Naryshkin stumbled over his prepared lines.

9. “Gather the leaders of the world,” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said to President Biden on the phone as Russian forces invaded. “Ask them to support Ukraine.” On February 24, 2022, President Putin launched the most brazen attempt at territorial conquest since World War II. “We’re going to be with you,” Biden promised Zelensky. “You should always tell us what you need.” As of June 2024, the U.S. had provided Ukraine about $51.2 billion in military assistance alone.

10. “We expected [the Russians] to do exactly what the U.S. military would have done,” CIA Director Bill Burns said about Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, “which is spend the first 24 hours taking out the command-and-control system and taking out the air defense system. They didn’t do that.” By the fifth day of the invasion, February 28, 2022, a 40-mile convoy of 15,000 Russian troops, tanks and supply trucks was stalled in a massive traffic jam.

11. “We know you are contemplating the use of tactical nuclear weapons in Ukraine,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said during a phone call with Russia’s Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, one of Putin’s closest advisers, on October 21, 2022. Shoigu said he did not take kindly to being threatened.

“Mr. Minister,” Austin said bluntly with not a hint of anger, “I am the leader of the most powerful military in the history of the world. I don’t make threats.”

12. Russian President Vladimir Putin shows Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu mushrooms during a vacation in the Siberian wilderness. Shoigu, who helped plan Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and 2022 invasion of Ukraine, has been in Putin’s inner circle for three decades. It was a strange and dangerous pairing. Shoigu was a classic Russian apparatchik—a hardliner, dutiful and totally subservient to Putin.

13. Ukrainian soldiers wounded in a Russian cluster bomb attack as they retreated in armored personnel carriers from the front lines. Ukraine was the most challenging military environment for an army since World War II. It was a full-on artillery war with Ukraine and Russia bogged down in trench warfare. The front lines barely moved.

14. The howitzer, a cross between a cannon and a mortar, had become the mainstay of Ukraine’s defense and relied on 155mm ammunition. On June 11, 2023, Colonel Joe Da Silva warned National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan that the Ukrainians were burning through “upwards of 10,000 rounds” of ammunition per day and at risk of running out by the end of July. The only significant supplies of 155mm left on earth that could fire from the howitzers were cluster munitions, banned by 123 countries for being inhumane and indiscriminate. President Biden gave the order to send them. Russia was already using them.

15. “Today, the people of Israel are under attack, orchestrated by a terrorist organization, Hamas,” President Biden said from the State Dining Room on October 7, 2023, flanked by Secretary of State Tony Blinken. “In this moment of tragedy, I want to say to them and to the world and to terrorists everywhere that the United States stands with Israel. We will not ever fail to have their back,” Biden said. The United States was the first nation to recognize the State of Israel, 11 minutes after its founding, 75 years ago.

16. Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani, age 43, was key to getting Hamas, the militant group that attacked Israel so brutally on October 7, 2023, to release hostages. The Emir had hosted Hamas political leadership in Doha for years and given hundreds of millions of dollars in aid to Hamas in Gaza. Qatar had an open channel. “They are ready to release some of the hostages,” the Emir informed Secretary of State Blinken on October 13, 2023, in Doha.