“But…?” Thorn said.
“But the guitar thing was the key. There aren’t that many classical guitarists in the country, relatively speaking — I’m talking hundreds of thousands, and that includes everybody from guys who make a living doing it to kids taking their first lesson.”
“Only hundreds of thousands?” Howard said.
“When it comes to computer work, that’s nothing,” Jay said. “Google or Gotcha! can scan what? Three, four million webpages in fractions of a second. And we’ve got better hardware.”
Howard shook his head. He wasn’t a big computer fan either, Jay knew.
“I did some fast research on the subject, talked in RW to an expert, and then I made some assumptions for a baseline.”
“What assumptions?” Thorn asked.
“One, that the guy was fairly serious, because according to those who know, players who aren’t serious usually don’t bother with the fingernail thing.”
Thorn nodded. “According to the FBI and cops who ran this thing, they say the guy is a pro, very careful. Only reason we found images off him is sheer dumb luck — he didn’t make any big mistakes.”
“One, anyway,” Julio said. “Jay’s still alive, isn’t he?”
Jay grinned. “Maybe he wasn’t planning to kill me. The more I think about it, the more I think maybe he might have wanted to kidnap me.”
“Based on?” Howard asked.
“If he’d wanted to kill me, there were fifty places better than the one he picked, and I’d have never seen it coming.”
“Kidnapping you on a major highway wasn’t a mistake?”
“We’d never have ID’d him from the eyewitnesses, would we? I think something happened. Maybe he didn’t even mean to shoot me in the head. Maybe he was just trying to scare me.”
Thorn said, “Go ahead, Jay.”
“Thanks. It doesn’t really matter what he had in mind, though — I just needed a place to set up shop.”
Thorn nodded. “We’re with you so far.”
“So, we assume he’s a good guitar player. That narrows it down to, say, ten thousand, people who practice a couple hours a day, at least. My expert says it’s actually probably fewer than that. I also assumed for the sake of the search that fairly serious classical guitarists not only study the instrument, they keep up with related material — magazines, either treeware or e-zines, sheet music sites, guitar competitions, concerts, guitar makers, and music stores, all like that.
“Then I gridded the country and checked by region. I’m thinking that the guy must be a local — living somewhere on the eastern seaboard.”
“Why?” Kent asked. “He could live anywhere, couldn’t he? We have quite a national transportation system. It sure seems you’re making a lot of assumptions, son.”
Virtual Jay glanced at virtual Thorn, who smiled. He was a player himself, and a good one. He knew the old researchers’ adage: Assumptions were the mothers of information.
Jay said, “You have to start somewhere. Did you ever work a hard crossword puzzle? Sometimes, you just have to put letters in, to see if it sparks anything. You can always erase and change things.”
“All right,” Kent said. “Stipulated.”
Jay continued: “When you strain classical guitar magazines, websites, UseNet groups, concert tickets, and luthiers — those are the guys who make guitars — you come up with plenty of duplicates, but now we’re down to a few thousand names who recur in three or four arenas. These are the serious folks. If we eliminate the women, those we can ID immediately as being too old or too young, and those outside of the east coastal states, we’re down to a few hundred serious guys. Running checks on their pix, using national, state, and local images we can access, gets down to twelve without easily found visual ID’s.”
“Twelve?” Julio asked.
“Yep. Then we dig a little deeper, checking guitar websites, high school yearbooks, newspapers — we have their names, so it’s easier — and we have four possibles left. Remember, we restricted the search to people who live on the east coast, but that’s just their permanent address, not their current one. It turns out two of the four are overseas right now. One is a soldier stationed in the Middle East, the other is a guy working in Japan.”
He paused, enjoying the drama of the moment.
“One of remaining two is in a wheelchair.”
He paused again.
“Jay,” Howard said.
Jay grinned. “And the last one…” He touched a control on the flatscreen. A third image, full-face and a close view, appeared next to the others, and it was obviously the same man.
“Tah-dah!”
Julio snorted. “Why didn’t you just show us the picture in the first place?”
Jay laughed. “It’s not enough just to get the answer, Julio, you also have to show your work.”
Julio shook his head and muttered softly. Jay didn’t quite catch what he said, but it didn’t exactly sound like a compliment.
Jay kept going: “This image was taken at a box office in Washington, D.C., two months ago, by a QuikTix machine that sold him the admission to a classical guitar concert. He paid with a debit card. We have the bank and the ID on the account. The name is fake — he calls himself ‘Francisco Tárrega,’ which is a giveaway — Tárrega was a famous Spanish guitarist who died a hundred years ago. The address is also bogus, but he does have an active mailbox at a Mail Store in the District where the bank sends his statements. We can get a team of feebs to watch the place. When he goes to fetch his mail, we’ve got him.”
“Great work, Jay,” Howard said.
“But wait, it gets better. I also sent copies of the picture to classical guitarists and instrument makers and sellers and all like that, once I was sure he wasn’t one of them. I’ve got half a dozen people who recognize the guy, and we have a first name — Edward. We also know he probably is foreign-born. Our witnesses say he has an accent. He sounds like a Russian, Ukranian, something like that. Nobody claims to know the guy well; they do say he seems to know guitars and can talk the talk. One shop owner in New York City says from what this guy has told him, he owns at least a few fairly expensive custom-made instruments.”
At home, but also there, Jay grinned and relaxed. He felt a little better about this, but he’d feel better still once the guy was in custody.
Or on a slab.
“Welcome back, man,” Julio said.
“Thanks,” Jay said. “It’s good to be back.”
Or anywhere, for that matter.
26
Thorn stripped off the VR gear and smiled, very much pleased with himself. Jay had come up with the guy’s name, but Thorn had just discovered where he lived!
He reached for the com, to call Jay at home. Jay had a personal stake in this.
Jay’s face appeared on the computer’s screen. “Hey, Boss. What’s up?”
“We got his house, Jay.”
“We did? How?”
Thorn smiled. Spoken like a true information hound — the “how” was as important as the fact it was done.
“From your info. One of the interviewees, a music store owner, said our man claimed to own some expensive handmade instruments. Said he was passionate about them, prized them highly, and knew enough particulars so that the store owner was sure he was telling the truth. The guy loves fine guitars.”
“And?”
“So, I did an on-line survey of American luthiers who produce classical guitars costing more than a couple thousand dollars, and asked if any of them had shipped one to somebody with the first name ‘Edward’ in the New York or Washington, D.C., area in the last few months. I got three hits. On one of them, from a luthier in Portland, Oregon, the spelling was different — it was E-D-U-A-R-D. I checked with the carriers the guitar-makers used, ran down the three addresses. Two of them checked out to be people who couldn’t be our man. The third one, the “u” spelling, that’s our guy — I talked to the truck driver who delivers air freight to the house. He’s trucked several guitars there in the past year. It’s him.”