Putin had formed a party, Unity, in September 1999 to enforce the government’s authority. Unity’s main function was not to discuss his policies but to agree to them in the Duma. But the party failed to achieve a majority in the Duma election of December 1999. The President in May 2001 engineered a coalition with three other parties called United Russia. Like Yeltsin, Putin refrained from becoming a party member and justified this by saying that the President ought to stand outside the fray of public dispute. In December 2003 the Duma elections left United Russia a little short of an absolute majority. But other Duma deputies quickly came over to Putin’s side and the Kremlin at last broke free of the restrictions in the parliament which had plagued Yeltsin. Presidential authority was strengthened as party discipline increased.10 Indeed Putin needed to veto only one bill produced by the legislature from 2002 onwards. He removed the Communist Party of Russia from the chairmanship of several Duma committees. After 2003, indeed, United Russia supplied the leaders of all such committees. The State Duma and the Council of the Federation had become pliant instruments of presidential rule.
Putin’s election for a second presidential term in March 2004 hardly required him to conduct a campaign. This had not stopped him from organizing fawning support from the media. Zyuganov, veteran of presidential contests in 1996 and 2000, said he had had enough and allowed Nikolai Kharitonov, who was not even a communist party member, to take his place. Zhirinovski took a similar decision: not even the chance of months in the political limelight induced him to take part. The liberals were in disarray. Irina Khakamada put herself forward on their behalf but did not succeed in uniting them. Russian TV took little notice of anyone but Putin, who asked to be judged on his record and appealed for patriotic unity. The election was a foregone conclusion: he would have needed to fall under the wheels of a Moscow trolley bus to lose against his rivals. This time Putin took seventy-one per cent of the votes in the first round, again rendering a second unnecessary.
He had been given credit for bringing order and stability to the country. In truth the economic resurgence had little to do with his performance as a leader. Since mid-1999, before he was even prime minister, there had been a steady rise in oil and gas prices on global markets. By the end of 2007 the Russian economy was the world’s tenth biggest in gross domestic product, having expanded at an annual rate of seven per cent since Putin’s rise to the presidency.11 This had the effect of widening prosperity in Russia. Real incomes more than doubled in the same period. The size of the middle class purportedly grew to a fifth of the population by 2008. Other estimates put it at a tenth. What was undeniable was that people with a stake in the market economy had grown in number. From stall-holders to owners of small manufacturing or retail companies the proliferation was rapid and constant. Employment in all sectors of the economy had increased. Neglected regions were at last beginning to experience some improvement.
Yet capitalism in Russian remained a wild phenomenon. In industries big and small the executive and judicial authorities turned a blind eye to the infringement of health and safety rules. Mining and chemical enterprises were the tip of a dangerous iceberg for the workforce. But strikes were few and demonstrations were fewer. Political repression and manipulation played a part in procuring this situation, but anyhow the wish of most Russians was to live comfortably. There had been many improvements since the mid-1980s. Citizens of the Russian Federation had freedoms not witnessed since the fall of the Imperial monarchy. They also had a degree of privacy impossible in the USSR. They could enjoy their sense of nationhood without fear of official disapproval. Yet it rankled with them that blatant social inequalities remained. The conspicuous wealth of the few contrasted with the harsh austerities afflicting the many. Unfairness abounded. Administrative processes were still prone to arbitrary rule. Police and judges were venal. Russians went on grumbling and had much to grumble about. In order to cope with existence they turned to the traditions of mutual assistance which had for centuries helped them through the worst times. But they did not take to the streets. The last thing twenty-first-century Russians wanted was a revolution.
In the early years of his presidency Putin had confined his assertiveness to domestic politics. Recognizing that Russian power would remain restricted until the economy could be regenerated, he stressed his commitment to a ‘multipolar’ world. This was a tactful way of expressing dislike of the USA’s dominance as the single superpower. In practice, there was not much he could do to turn Russia into one of the globe’s great poles. Like Yeltsin, Putin tried to make up for this by holding frequent meetings with his leaders of other countries. Each get-together was managed superbly by his media experts and Putin, fit and increasingly confident, contrasted sharply with his decrepit predecessor. But substantial results were few.
Putin rushed to offer condolence and support to the USA after 11 September 2001 when Islamist terrorists flew aeroplanes into New York’s World Trade Centre. The destruction of the twin towers and the massive loss of human lives provoked the Americans into a furious reaction involving a military campaign in Afghanistan to eliminate the Al-Qaida organization. American President George W. Bush proclaimed a ‘war on terror’. Waiving Russia’s conventional claim to exclusive influence in the former Soviet republics of central Asia, Putin made no protest about the Americans using air bases in Kyrgyzstan to attack Al-Qaida in Afghanistan. He also made little fuss when, in December 2001, Bush unilaterally announced his intention to withdraw from the anti-ballistic missiles treaty signed by Washington and Moscow in 1972. Russian diplomatic stock was rising in Washington, and Putin for a while was treated as a worthy partner in international relations. Bush had claimed in midsummer 2001: ‘I looked the man in the eye. I was able to get a sense of his soul.’ Putin acquired Western indulgence for the continuing military campaign in Chechnya. The fact that international Islamist groups had sent men, arms and money to the Chechen rebels allowed him to represent Russia as having been fighting at the front line against terrorism worldwide.
Washington ceased rewarding Putin for his assistance once the war in Afghanistan had ended in spring 2002. Although he was left alone to do what he wanted in Chechnya he was not encouraged to reassert Russian power outside the borders of the Federation. He continued to devote diplomatic efforts to the forging of closer links with the European Union and indeed with NATO. But the reality of Russia’s global weakness was there for all to see.
This situation turned in his favour as the revenues from oil and gas exports started to fill Russian state coffers; and Putin, thinking he had nothing to lose, adopted an assertive manner in reaction to American initiatives in international relations. The USA led an invasion of Iraq, a strong trading partner of the Russian Federation, between March and May 2003 in complete disregard of the Kremlin’s objections and concerns. The Americans also announced a willingness to prepare the way for Georgia and Ukraine to join NATO. They interfered in the politics of Uzbekistan. They cheered the ‘Orange Revolution’ in Kiev when, in December 2004, the anti-Moscow candidate Viktor Yushchenko won the presidential election despite serial attempts to defraud him of his victory. In 2006 they requested Poland and the Czech Republic, freshly incorporated in NATO, to allow them to install an anti-ballistic missile ‘shield’ on their territory. President George W. Bush insisted that the enemy he had in mind was Iran; but Russian politicians regarded it as one militant initiative too many against the interests of Russia’s security. In each instance Putin made public his criticisms, abandoning any worry of a worsening of the relationship with the USA — and his truculence found favour with Russians, who applauded him for restoring their country to a seat at the table of the world’s great powers.