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But all that is gradually changing. Ground-based astronomers have, at least for nearby objects, an experimental tooclass="underline" radar astronomy. At our convenience, at our choice of frequency, polarization, bandpass and pulse length, we can irradiate a nearby moon or planet with microwaves and examine the returned signal. We can wait for the object to rotate underneath the beam and illuminate some other place on its surface. Radar astronomy has delivered a host of new conclusions on the rotation periods of Venus and Mercury, and related problems in the tidal evolution of the solar system, on the craters of Venus, the fragmented surface of the Moon, the elevations of Mars, and the size and composition of the particles in the rings of Saturn. And radar astronomy is just beginning. We are still restricted to low altitudes, and for the outer solar system, to sun-facing hemispheres. But with the newly resurfaced Arecibo telescope of the National Astronomy and Ionosphere Center in Puerto Rico, we will be able to map the surface of Venus to a resolution of 1 kilometer-better than the best ground-based photographic resolution of the lunar surface-and obtain a host of new information on the asteroids, the Galilean satellites of Jupiter and the rings of Saturn. For the first time we are poking around in cosmic stuff, electromagnetically fingering the solar system.

A much more powerful technique of experimental (as opposed to observational) astronomy is spacecraft exploration. We can now travel into the magneto-spheres and atmospheres of the planets. We can land on and rove over their surfaces. We can collect material directly from the interplanetary medium. Our first preliminary steps into space have shown us a wide range of phenomena we never knew existed: the Van Allen trapped-particle belts of the earth; the mass concentrations beneath the circular maria of the moon; the sinuous channels and great volcanoes of Mars; the cratered surfaces of Phobos and Deimos. But what I am most struck by is that, before the advent of space vehicles, astronomers did very well-hamstrung though they were. The interpretations of the observations available to them were remarkably good. Space vehicles are ways of checking out the conclusions drawn inferentially by astronomers, a method of determining whether astronomical deductions on very distant objects-objects so far away as to be entirely inaccessible by space vehicles in the near future-should be believed.

ONE OF THE EARLIEST major debates in astronomy was on whether the Earth or the Sun was at the center of the solar system. The Ptolemaic and Copernican views explain the apparent motion of the Moon and planets to comparable precision. For the practical problem of predicting the positions of the Moon and planets as seen from the surface of the Earth, it hardly mattered which hypothesis was adopted. But the philosophical implications of the geocentric and heliocentric hypotheses were quite different. And there were ways of finding out which was right. In the Copernican view, Venus and Mercury should go through phases like the Moon. In the Ptolemaic view, they should not. When Galileo, using one of the first astronomical telescopes, observed a crescent Venus, he knew he had vindicated the Copernican hypothesis.

But space vehicles provide a more immediate test. According to Ptolemy, the planets are affixed to immense crystalline spheres. But when Mariner 2 or Pioneer 10 penetrated the locales of Ptolemy’s supposed crystal spheres, no impediment to their motion was detected; and, more directly, the acoustic and other micrometeorite detectors heard not even the faintest whisper of tinkling, much less the sound of smashed crystal. There is something very satisfying and immediate about this sort of test. There are probably no Ptolemaists in our midst. But there might be some with lingering doubts about whether Venus could not be made to go through phases in some modified geocentric hypothesis. Those people can now rest easy.

Before space vehicles, the German astrophysicist Ludwig Biermann was intrigued by the observations of the apparent acceleration of bright knots in the well-developed tails of comets passing through the inner solar system. Biermann showed that the radiation pressure of sunlight was inadequate to account for the observed acceleration and made the novel suggestion that there were charged particles streaming out from the Sun which, in interaction with the comet, produced the observed acceleration. Well, maybe. But could it not be equally due to, say, chemical explosions in the nucleus of the comet? Or some other explanation? But the first successful interplanetary spacecraft, Mariner 2, in the course of its fly-by of Venus, determined the existence of a solar wind with velocities and electron densities in just the range that Biermann had calculated would be necessary to accelerate his knots.

In the same period there was a debate on the nature of the solar wind. In one view, that of Eugene Parker of the University of Chicago, it was caused by hydro-dynamical flow out from the Sun; in another view, by evaporation from the top of the solar atmosphere. In the hydrodynamic explanation there should be no fractionation by mass; that is, the atomic composition of the solar wind should be the same as that of the Sun. But in the evaporation hypothesis, the lighter atoms escape the Sun’s gravity more easily, and heavy elements should be preferentially depleted in the solar wind. Interplanetary spacecraft have found that the ratio of hydrogen to helium in the solar wind is precisely that in the Sun, and have thereby provided convincing support for the hydrodynamic hypothesis of the origin of the solar wind.

In these examples from solar wind physics, we find that the spacecraft experiments provided the means for making critical judgments among competing hypotheses. In retrospect, we find that there were astronomers such as Biermann and Parker who were right for the right reasons. But there were others, equally bright, who disbelieved them and might have gone on disbelieving them had not the critical spacecraft experiments been performed. What is remarkable is not that there were alternative hypotheses which we now see to be incorrect, but rather that on the basis of the very meager data available anyone was smart enough to divine the correct answer-inferentially, using intuition, physics and common sense.

Before the Apollo missions, the uppermost layer of the lunar surface could be examined by visible, infrared and radio observations during both lunations and eclipses, and the polarization of sunlight reflected off the lunar surface had been measured. From these observations, Thomas Gold of Cornell University prepared a dark powder which, in the laboratory, reproduced the observed properties of the lunar surface very well. This “Golddust” can even be purchased for a modest price from the Edmund Scientific Company. A naked-eye comparison of lunar dust returned by Apollo astronauts with Golddust shows them to be almost indistinguishable. In particle-size distribution, and in electrical and thermal properties, they are a very close match. However, their chemical compositions are very different. Golddust is primarily Portland cement, charcoal and hairspray. The moon has a less exotic composition. But the observed lunar properties available to Gold before Apollo did not strongly depend on the chemical composition of the lunar surface. He was able to deduce very well that fraction of the lunar-surface properties which was relevant to pre-1969 observations of the Moon.

From the study of the available radio and radar data, we were able to deduce the high surface temperature and high surface pressures of Venus before the first Soviet Venera entry probe made in situ observations on the atmosphere, and subsequent Venera probes on the surface. Likewise, we correctly deduced the existence of elevation differences on Mars as great as 20 kilometers, although we were mistaken in thinking that dark areas were systematically at high elevations on the planet. [16]

Perhaps one of the most interesting such confrontations of astronomical inference with spacecraft observations is the case of the magnetosphere of Jupiter. In 1955 Kenneth Franklin and Bernard Burke were testing a radio telescope near Washington, D.C., intended for mapping galactic radio emission at a frequency of 22 Hertz. They noticed a regularly recurring interference on their records, which they at first thought was due to some conventional source of radio noise-such as a faulty ignition system on some nearby tractor. But they soon discovered that the timing of the interference corresponded perfectly well with transits overhead of the planet Jupiter. They had discovered that Jupiter was a powerful source of decameter radio emission.

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[16] I have discussed these successful inferences and their spacecraft confirmations in Chapters 12, 16 and 17 of The Cosmic Connection.